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| LB Johnson on the campaign trail. Credt: Wikicommons. |
My night on Irish television went well, and I hope to have a piece about the election appearing in a national magazine in the USA soon -- I'll let you know. Later this week I'll be back to posting about pickled apples, our neighbours, our bog butter and other things. For now, though, the US election is still on everyone's minds, and I'll have a piece about it appearing in a national US magazine soon. For this blog's 1,000th post, here is a longer version.
***
The morning after
the election, you could recite the articles before you read them. After “the
most contentious election in US history,” they wrote, “the art of fiction is
dead.” Pundits called Donald Trump “the most unqualified president in history,”
but said the voters were reacting to years of “social experimentation and
economic extravagance,” motivated “not by ideology but a desire to vote against
Hillary Clinton or a desire for change.” Democrats, meanwhile, were “turning
their guns on each other” in despair.
So far, so familiar.
Except none of these headlines were from this election. The first quotes were
from 2000, the last from 1980 (with the names of the candidate changed), the
“social experimentation” line from 1942, the “turning their guns” quote from
1880. The “most unqualified” line has been used a lot lately.
The protests, riots,
and screaming apocalypse headlines crop up every four years – just more
hysterically now than ever. After every recent election, bloggers and activists
from the losing side announce that the USA has died and been replaced by Nazi
Germany, and that we’re all heading for concentration camps. Some rural
conservatives spent the Obama years talking about this very thing, a few even
organising militias to prepare for what they thought was the inevitable. It
wasn’t.
Right now my Democratic friends are circulating reports of attacks by
pro-Trump groups, in what the news site Quartz refers to as an “ugly
picture of a torrent of frenzied hate.” Most
of the reports, however, are based on unverified Twitter posts, with no more
substance than similar reports from the other side. The most forwarded viral
image – an alleged gay journalist covered in blood after an attack – contains
few details, and as the debunking web site Snopes.com reports, no such incident
was reported to local police.
The same
is true for other widely circulated stories – the Muslim woman who said that
Trump supporters pulled off her headdress later admitted to police that she
made it up. Activist web sites claim to list “hate crimes” from pro-Trump
groups, but many of the photos and stories they list are dubious – for example,
a photo of a truck flying a Confederate flag, something that is not uncommon,
nor connected to this election, nor a crime.
Even if a few fisticuffs broke out,
my Democratic friends tell me, this is how Nazi Germany started. Except that
almost every election in history has seen some similar tensions, and in all cases
but one, it did not lead to Nazi Germany. In fact, that’s not how the Nazis
began; events like the Krystallnacht left hundreds dead and tens of thousands
arrested after a single night. In the week since the election the USA, a
country five times the size of Weimar Germany, we have seen only a few violent
incidents, and some of those were by Clinton supporters vandalising businesses, smashing windows and setting fires.
Look, I
don’t know what it feels like on the ground in the USA right now, and I take threats
to Americans’ freedom seriously – and if my friends feel despair or fear, I
take that seriously as well, whether it’s founded or not. It’s just that I took
it seriously with my conservative friends eight years ago too. It’s not that
they were wrong about everything, just most things – and the good criticisms
they had were drowned in a sea of hyperbole.
Yet the rage and
despair get visibly worse every election, and it’s worth asking why. Some of
it, obviously, is the quality of the candidates -- but contrary to popular
belief, we’ve had far more corrupt or vulgar candidates, and not that long ago.
People aren’t just concerned – they are ready to blow a gasket, whether their
side won or lost.
Some of it, surely,
is that so many Americans are working harder to make ends meet right now, so
there is more at stake. Many reasons, however, seem to have more to do with our
mental landscape than our physical one.
For one thing, this
election might mark the moment social media became the dominant force in
politics. Newspaper journalists could be biased, but they were professionals
who strove for at least a nominal balance, and wrote for the general populace.
Social media gives you a flood of click-bait, hoaxes, and out-of-context images
– and I mean “you,” as it’s algorithmically filtered to fit your darkest
preconceptions.
Through every
increasingly tiresome cycle my conservative friends forward me horror stories
about the violence and hatred of the liberal moonbats, and liberal friends do
the same about the conservative wingnuts, with each side --- and many cliques
inside those sides -- living on a different news planet. None of us, honestly,
have the time or bandwidth to research everything we receive. All this leaves
us breathtakingly unprepared for the moment when we look up from our glowing
rectangle at some actual fleshy neighbours, who have spent the last several
years inside a different filter bubble, and realise we have no shared points of
reference to discuss our country.
In the internet age,
moreover, information flickers and then disappears, leaving the headlines of a
few years or decades ago forgotten and making every situation feel
unprecedented and apocalyptic. On Election Night I was part of a panel on Irish
television, and was struck by how often pundits called this “the most
contentious election in US history,” or some such phrase. I remarked later that
the 1860 election, which resulted in a million deaths, might have been a bit
worse.
This mass forgetting
leaves us with few analogies for any new event, save those provided by pop
culture; when a populist demagogue is propelled into power, Americans can only
debate whether they will be a.) Hitler, or b.) not-Hitler, without asking
whether they could be Peisistratus, or Sulla, or Justinian, or Komnenos, or
Andrew Jackson, or any of the other possibilities.
Likewise,
the US media too rarely reports on the rest of the world, so Americans have no
way to compare their democracy to others. Most other countries have multiple
third parties representing a variety of approaches to government: socialist vs.
capitalist, cosmopolitan vs. nationalist, globalist vs. protectionist,
religious vs. secular. The US media steamrolls all these issues into a single
left-right line, with various positions on abortion, trade, the environment or
religious expression falling onto one side or another through shotgun marriages.
There’s
nothing inevitable about the current combination, however –William Jennings
Bryan a century ago could be simultaneously feminist, segregationist,
pro-union, anti-war, and creationist, and parties a few decades from now could
come up with other combinations horrifying to the political class but much more
in keeping with what most Americans want. Seeing only two sides encourages
voters to see politics in terms of good and evil, which drives people to
further extremes in pursuit of purity.
Yet another reason
for the bitterness of today’s elections might lie in the USA’s religion of
progress. You might think of progress as a fairly obvious truth; we have vaccines,
wi-fi and GPS, and our forebears didn’t. The religion of progress, however,
doesn’t stop at being grateful for our current good fortune; it declares that
history can and must continue in this same direction forever, at an ever-faster
speed, as both a natural law and a moral imperative.
Of course,
this god has been failing for decades now; fusion power, flying cars and Mars
vacations never panned out, and never will. Nor have the real technological
changes turned out to be all beneficial; when authors extrapolate current
trends for science fiction, they imagine a dystopia.
Each side
of our culture war has abandoned the religion of progress in certain areas, but
no one can let it go completely; conservatives still demand progress in
economics and technology, while leftists are “progressive” in social and sexual
arenas. Whichever you are, your faith demands that you can never rest --
whether you imagine the next step to be artificial intelligence,
genetically-engineered meat or multiple gender categories, it must be taken, no questions asked. No one, on any side, is allowed to ask whether some experiments have succeeded or failed, or to question proposed future changes -- that would be surrendering to the enemies of progress,
condemned to the wrong side of history.
For many Democrats,
the Obama election was the ultimate proof of progress, and Clinton’s the next
necessary step – so they didn’t just see a single election defeat, but the
derailing of our national future. Newsweek accordingly called Trump’s
supporters “anti-progress,” but most of them have a similar philosophy and use
the same metaphors. They simply believe the train already derailed, and want to
put the country “back on track.” Neither side questions the basic metaphor, or
whether a single office-holder can change the direction of a train.
Another reason US
politics feel so urgent to American voters is that most were born in a Cold-War
superpower, and we reflexively refer to our president as the “leader of the
free world,” the individual with their “finger on the button.” Yet that world
is ebbing away, along with the USA’s monopoly on global influence, and it turns
out that’s literally not the end of the world – many leaders far more dubious
than Mr. Trump have fingers on buttons these days, yet we’re a lot further away
from nuclear war than we were fifty years ago.
In the 19th
century, electing the president meant electing the supervisor of a single branch
of a single level of government in a single country. The same is true for
elections in Ireland, Norway or most countries today; they look downright
relaxed in comparison to ours. It’s not because there is more agreement or less
choice – just the opposite – but because voters are simply choosing someone to
represent their interests, someone who can vote for a new hospital or bus
route.
As the executive
branch swelled to dominate the federal government, the federal government
swelled to dominate the country, and the country swelled into a global empire,
the US presidency took on more responsibility than any office should have.
Americans today are told they must choose a leader for the entire world,
someone who will negotiate peace between nations, repair the global economy,
command US troops, reverse the global climate shift, violate the laws of
physics, be charming on television and set an example for young children
everywhere. Demanding such impossible standards every four years means that
every candidate becomes the Man that Dreams are Made Of, and every election
carries enough weight to break us.
Finally, we
Americans grow up with the stories told by movies and television – hateful
villains, sassy heroes, a countdown to Armageddon, a last-minute save and a
happy ending -- all designed to pound our emotional buttons and resolve in an
hour or two. After generations of these stories, their maximalist language has
become our own; any new infection becomes the Zombie Apocalypse, any candidate
we don’t like becomes an Evil Overlord, and we discuss all social or
environmental issues in disaster-movie language, saying “we have only a
short time left” to change everything “or it will be too late.”
What happens after it’s “too late” and we’re still here?
High unemployment? Occasional rioting? Government spying on citizens? Troops at war
overseas? Local uprisings? Mass incarceration? Those things are happening now. Sure, they could get a lot worse
–the USA is so divided right now that it’s not impossible it could break into
mass unrest as Northern Ireland did, or break up as the Soviet Union did. At
the same time, you probably still have all manner of food and technology that
most people never had, and are safer and luckier than most humans who have ever
lived. My liberal and conservative friends alike, as they pound all-capital-letter messages with multiple exclamation marks on Facebook, are not actually in a concentration camp, and it's not too late for them.
I don’t know what kind of president Mr. Trump will be– by
all means, keep a watchful eye on his administration. Clinton supporters can
stop, however, going on as though they’ve been robbed of the glorious future
they were supposed to have, if only their candidate had been elected, and that we are now sliding into an age of evil and darkness. No
political figure will fix or destroy everything. There is no bomb counting down
to Too Late, no point at which it is Game Over, nor any point where our story
ends Happily Ever After. The nation is not a ship that can sink or a train that
was speeding towards Progressistan; it was not derailed, and will not get Back
on Track.
You won’t defeat the Moonbats,
Wingnuts, Useful Idiots or Forces of Hatred, because those are imaginary
concepts from a web site – the people on the other side are named Molly and Amy
and Adam, and they are trying to do the right thing just like you are. The odds
of they, and you, dying is 100% in the long run, but the odds of dying in the
next few years in a Zombie Apocalypse, Nuclear Armageddon or Nazi Death Camp
are quite low. Remember, we’ve been through this many times before, and we’re
still here.
No matter what happens, no matter what your politics, there
is one thing that’s bound to help your country in the years ahead. You could
help rebuild the social institutions around you -- churches, fraternal
organizations, town halls, unions, markets, and webs of mutual obligation –
that have so deeply deteriorated. They are what democracy used to be, before it
became images on a screen. They are what our
dreams used to be made of. They are what kept towns and neighbourhoods
functioning fifty or a hundred or two hundred years ago, back before we looked
to a candidate to fix everything for us.
